Global heating forces still grow in 2019
Australia as a forcing of global heating - Click for full size pdf

It is nearly the end of 2019, and organisations that collect the emissions statistics already have enough data to predict the general results, which do not yet offer much hope in extrapolation to the future decade.

Such was reported by the Scientific American online - https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/co2-emissions-will-break-another-record-in-2019/, and echoed in many places, as much for worry about failing growth, than still rising emission rates.

For those that dislike a lot of words, this latest version of a borrowed infographic shown here from the Global Carbon Project shows the trends. Here is a link to the source page - https://www.globalcarbonproject.org/carbonbudget/19/infographics.htm

2019 will be another record year for adding more greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. Again it has become a bit faster, but the increase in yearly growth was only 0.6% above that of 2018,  and 2018 was a 2% increase over 2017 additions.

These preliminary results say the yearly ouput growth rate for 2019 is about one third that of 2018.

The decline in the rate of increase comes from declines in coal consumption in USA and Europe.  This correlates with their citizens experience of economic recessions, and brings up the question of what real total emissions reductions would be like. Of course, any climate emergency real actions will need a lot of rationing and a lot of cooperation, and none of these things exist in great quantities in neo-liberalism.

Global heating forcing continues to grow, and Australia is an enthusiastic participant. Australia can congratulate itself, on being able to help India and China buck these trends and continue ongoing growth of coal burning, and expanding their gas imports.

The powers that be in Australia want to keep on pushing coal and gas. ( As many people have deduced, the major powers inside Australian Government are foreign corporate mining investment - Minerals Council of Australia, Rupert Murdoch, Billionaires, China and India. Anyone who can wave money around, which can buy an easy induced belief in personal global heating immunity and species immortality, or at least provide comforts and a sense of security and ego importance far beyond what average citizens can get. Those suits are very expensive and require air conditioning to wear all the time. Third rate or worse intellectual and moral standards are preferred, with superficial celebrity appearances for sales-con-man-ship. Only blatant self-interest and self-preservation instincts and propensity to allow violence against others can be trusted. Actual real ability or concern for others is usually distrusted).

The individual Gas, Oil, Coal and Land info-graphics show clearly Australia's main sources of global climate policy weaknesses.  

Australia is boosting its emissions from the energy costs associated with export gas processing, as it vies to become no.1 gas exporter, as well as coal exporter. Foreign gas investment money is all setup to rape Australian gas sources, fracked and natural, for all they are worth to them, and write off all environmental values and ecosystems in the process of doing so, and have already purchased the political help.

Australia's imports of oil continue to increase for road transport. Australia continues to rely on coal for stationary electricity generation, and its massive levels of coal exported emissions get reciprocated by those emissions embedded in Australia's many imports of manufactured products, which are not counted as domestic emissions. 

Global coal consumption is the highest but appears to have hit a ceiling of 10 GtCO2 per year. Australia continues as the leading global coal exporter, the process of powering global manufacture that is outsourced to Asia.

Land deforestation fires are a growing problem, and there is massive uncertainty in these emissions estimates, to the same scale as coal, oil and gas sources. Australia has a growing risk and incidence of these.

All of Australians contribution to global climate risks originate in the large effects of foreign investment money on politicians and Government policy, and the wish to have oil-driven, energy rich, economic lifestyles of convenience. Government has become a large planning vehicle especially geared for extraction of resources, and not much else. The results are that Australian governments are afraid to say "no", or "hold off" to any exploitation project.

Drastic global reductions on coal, oil and gas burning need to happen real soon now, in time to avoid a global heating and climbing average 2 or 3 degrees C, or worse.

All the component graphs display the same range of absolute units of GtCO2 per year, from 0 to 10 GtCO2 per year.  With these 4 kinds of major contributors to CO2 alone, all of which being connected to economic growth, it isn't surprising that total additions to CO2 alone are about 35 GtCO2 per year.  For the total global impact problem, there are also N2O, CH4, and various other complex feedback effects underway to enhance the global climate killer punches, as they will come from things labelled as "tipping points".  Most of these are likely to be only defused by a rapid decline in total human global economic activity. Eventually this will come from a global civilisation collapse from global heating impacts on the global economy, if not done by a better plan.

Despite the ever rising global energy consumption, the overall welfare of human beings is not increasing, but is becoming more desperate. Because of declining extraction efficiency, more of the total energy was used up from extraction to the point of energy application. This "productivity of energy" is much more important than labour productivity, in our machine-energy economy. Population is still rising. 

Claims that the impact of "only a few degrees" of average heating will be tolerable, are very often found among the paid beneficiaries of the Coal, Oil and Gas industries,  their flunkies, mistaken economists, and the Australian Government, and writers for the Murdoch Press. These misled people constitute the real "forcing" of global heating.

These denialist claims have been frequently debunked, and just as frequently repeated by money interests and compliant media, and are not to be found among genuine earth and climate scientists. 

Global reductions of fossil usage of 25% or more during the next decade are required to keep below 2 C.  A target of 1.5 C requires reductions of 55% or more. All targets must aim for average of zero carbon economies by the half century. Adapting to these targets require entirely different sorts of thinking to the current growth oriented policies and aims of Australian political parties, which are totally controlled by foreign corporate investment interests. Money buys policy. 



author:
Michael Rynn
description:
Global heating forces still grow in 2019. Australia is an enthusiastic forcing participant.
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Global heating forces still grow in 2019
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Global heating forces still grow in 2019

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