Rumors of absolute failures of your fossil fuels de-finance policy will be going global. I will put them on my website https://parracan.org. Why do bank executives not heed you-tube presentations by climate scientists? Is it a condition of outrageous highly paid employment? So sorry that you all will soon need to lose your jobs, in order to allow complex biosphere life to keep going.
There are at least 5 global climate tipping-overs already happening in accelerating motion. Melting permafrost, melting poles, Greenland ice pouring into oceans, Amazon forests now a carbon source, Northern Boreal forest dieback, fires all over, global photosynthesis decline, more and more positive feedbacks to our fossil fools global heating. The only solution will be imposed by nature and is a drastic reduction in our resources consumption and our population. Impact = P*A*T. Plus all our infrastructure to be washed away by sea level rise and escalating floods. You have a world to lose.
We’re in this terrible predicament because of an extractive economy that
requires constant environmental destruction in order to fuel economic
National Politics almost completely hides our global climate crisis. Trends evidenced in Australia is that administrations still give out fossil fuel mining rights like lollies. Australia pays out more in mining subsidies than it receives back in royalties. Foreign mining corporations easily fund our governing political parties from their export revenues. Our foreign mining owned media blinkers electoral sentiment. Even our banks are part-owned by foreign banks with mining investments.
Money growth is ruling very badly and has no effective policy while global climate goes into failure mode. It seems that total systems collapse is the only possible consequence. Meanwhile in the USA there is evidence of a sudden Administration Panic to "find a quick solution". (Monumental plans to fix the planet) It is something to do while continuing public denial of worst case acceleration that has proven to be faster than climate model predictions.
Maybe we shouldn't have got into this known mess in the first place. To fall back to biology based economics after rapid departure of fossil fuel burning is still not in any nations stated political plans. But it is sure to come, as it is the only possible, really well known, but the most inconvenient "solution". No technology is likely to change that. Our power-down is going to be full of risks and down-fails. So fossil fuel politics has no public mitigation plans, that are going to be needed for sure because of the oncoming rapid fossil fuel addiction withdrawal.
Support for our dense populations that need a large global agriculture base is most likely to be a downfall. Production will decline from climate change fragility, loss of fossil fuel inputs, and accelerating soil exhaustion. Global heating will suppress the physiology and ecology of all "primary production". This is a problem even for sparse populations of hunter-gatherer existence. As the crisis unfolds all national governments will fail completely, just like the failure modes they are practicing now.
New coal and gas projects in Australia that are still being approved by our mining-paid politicians are bad case of eco-suicide from delusional insanity. These people need be thrown out of office for taking money from tax-payer subsidized projects that work against global climate safety.
Current oil and gas global expansion plans are to carbon bomb the Paris Climate Agreement. No doubt they will keep doing this until the biosphere is definitively near death, unless they are definitively stopped.
Trees are an important part of the total web of life which maintains our biosphere. Thank you to all the volunteers and government agency which made this enhancement of our local environment possible. Something to outlast our fossil fool governments.
There is a big problem with "climate wars" being declared as over, as
was echoed by Australia prime minister and climate wars apologist Mr.
Anthony Albanese. We, the consumers of the biosphere, are still here.
The climate wars only end when our industrial civilization downs its
fossil fuel weapons and surrenders, or dies. Not a predicament we want
to take too long thinking it over, but we are taking our own sweet time.
Our industrial civilization has been expanding by its exploitation war
against nature and the global climate for at least 150 years. The
climate war is a side effect of the general war against nature of
industrial civilization powered by fossil fuels. Heat from accumulated
greenhouse gases is now fighting back with a growing vengence. Blow back
consequences and pay back reparations will continue long after our last
era built concrete and steel structure crumbles and rusts. Global
industrial civilization will soon be the biggest war loser. We have
already pushed our luck far too much, with our massive ecological
overshoot and interference with multiple other biosphere systems.
It seems quiet on the battle-front in Eastern Australia at the moment. Normal quiet activity of daily life is fossil fuel intensive. The latest Australia federal government quietly goes about its fossil fuel intensity support business.
Australian Government will likely never need to legislate a carbon price to encourage decarbonisation again. Local electricity retailers are now making big losses, and must pass on their high energy costs to customers. Paying more for energy will bankrupt many businesses. All thanks to our many decades of Australian "Takeaway fossil fuels" export policies. Local electricity bills will keep soaring upwards.
Not much of all those windfall profits from exported coal and gas are ever likely to return to Australia. This energy trap and money theft has been engineered for you by ten years of culpable governments that served big coal and gas mining first. Australian governments opposed all sensible climate and energy policy. Australian voters were most easily fooled by "crap" prime ministers and even crappier mass media. Our rising energy costs already magnify inflation, will close many businesses, and shutdown much of the Australian economy. More toxic medicine of rising interest rates further is surely going to make this worse. As if impoverished Australians still have an over-supply of money in their pockets.
Climate change hits with harder heat waves every summer season. Our predicament is dire. Net-zero will be an end result for human species. As we don't really give up, climate catastrophe will drop us there.
"The premise of net zero is deceptively simple – and we admit that it deceived us.
Heat waves are more dangerous to us than we think. A practical laboratory study shows that sweating fails to maintain core body temperatures at wet bulb temperatures of 31 °C and greater in healthy young adults. This is much less than the theorized limit of 35 °C
Fossil fuel addicted nations of the global north know they are on a bad path, because of global heating and finite resources, and they still compete to grow their economies and consumption. Livelihoods depend on oil. Food requires fertilizer, often made with gas. Gas can be used for cooking. In Sri Lanka, has undergone "involuntary fossil fuel withdrawal" - cold turkey style, and is now completely bereft of fossil fuel supply. Everything has stopped. People can't travel, can't cook, can't get food.
All that’s happening is that the poor are being made homeless, the rich are acting holier than thou, and the only people with a plan are being lied about or just ignored.
Western politicians have no systems plans to cope with fossil fuel withdrawal. They have no idea how to deal with coming supply collapse. Every meaningful climate mitigation plan requires a permanent major reduction in global demand for fossil fuels. Instead we have political systems of buttery smooth denial of any need to prepare for rapid fossil fuel withdrawal, mainly because the towering systems of wealth inequality will result in outbreaks of violence. This one lie of always available fossil fuel energy has spawned entire tribes of systemic and institutional liars in current national governments.
As others have warned for sometime, the global costs of mining minerals essential to technology is rising in terms of energy used and amounts of rock that must be processed. The rising costs make mining projects desperately corrupt and harmful to environment. Therefore the much ballyhooed energy transition is going to be mostly a long term reduction in energy prosperity, as general inflation attacks the prices of essentials dependent on fossil energy everywhere. Despite this global GHG emissions are yet to see a significant irreversible fall. At a minimum, global emissions need to halve by 2030. This approximates the rate at which global oil supply is projected to decline.
Erik Michaels has written many articles that detail a lot of research on our growing ecological overshoot, climate and energy predicaments. Still waiting for some real policies of sensible degrowth to protect some sort of future.
Federal Government does not wish discourage even more new gas mining for the rest of Australia, so pay up now. "The oil and gas industry has repeatedly ignored commitments to shore up Australia’s domestic gas supply made when developing new export infrastructure." They know which politicians are in their pockets, and get away with whatever they can. Excepting Western Australia, where the state government didn't lie down for foreign gas mining corporations. Now its winter and a quarter of coal fired power stations on australia's east coast are suddenly out of action. Maybe some of these are also owned by profiting gas corporations? It looks like previous government actions of privatizing and selling coal-fired power stations for a song to industry mates has really worked out well for some. With either gas or coal for energy, global climate is cooked just as quickly. At last we have a real corporate carbon tax, for which most of that money goes overseas to the global graft oligarchy. At last some real economic degrowth for Australia.
Neither federal Liberal nor Labor Parties dare reveal their ongoing national disgrace. Not only can they not stand up to foreign fossil fuel companies in order to mitigate accelerated global heating, they can't even extract a smidgen more taxes and royalties for general budget revenue beyond the generous donations both parties received for their re-election coffers, nor do they plan to do anything about massive taxpayer subsidies given to these foreign corporations.
The political deckchairs have been reorganized somewhat in Australia. A new Labor government just scraped in over the majority numbers for the house of representatives (77), despite the best efforts of foreign political manipulators. This seems to have been a victory by default, largely as voters in 10 key seats voted for independent liberals rather than the candidates from the previous smelly and incompetent government. There was not much a swing to the attractions of the small target Labor party campaign. From the first preference votes the average swing against the Liberal party was about four percent ( - 4.26). The swing against Labor was almost one percent ( - 0.70 ). From this dribble of voters leaving the major parties, both the Greens (+1.75) and the Right wing Pauline Hansons One Nation party picked up nearly 2 percent. (+1.87).
The results of parliamentary representation depend on the unevenness of the electorates.The Greens now have 4 seats instead of just 1, elected by rich educated electorates. The Liberal - National Party coalition is reduced to 58 seats from their previous 77 seat result in 2019. The majority team has been swapped, but now with more independents and greens members. All told, this must be some relief for at least half of the Australian Population.
Immediately on taking office the new government is hit with the problem of shortage of domestic gas supply and increasing wholesale energy prices. This is in Australia, the worlds current biggest exported of LNG - liquified natural gas.