Big overshoot of our extinction cliff edge. Our planet's cooling system has broken. . . . Lest we forget, humanity’s conundrum is an overshoot of nearly every safe environmental boundary that allowed humans to survive and thrive in the last 10,000 years. . . . The absurdity of our response, or lack thereof, is becoming ever more apparent as conditions continue to deteriorate around us. . . . We have already lost more than half, two thirds even, of all life on the planet.

Now calibrated with current datasets, an updated Limits to Growth model shows collapse in global industrial output is already happening just about now. Collapse is from resources depletion, particularly oil. Human population reduction will follow later. Persistent pollution is indexed to accumulated industrial CO2 emissions, which will continue grow to badly plague us later. 

Global climate models have been underestimating the rates of polar warming. What is missing? This paper says that thin, high polar clouds may be responsible. They form in the stratosphere, with water vapor created from methane breakdown. This amplifies the greenhouse effect of the methane itself.

The EDO in various states of Australia is fighting approvals for new Coal Mines and Fracking projects. Members of our governments and public service institutions behave as if they have been bought up to serve corporations, and have no decent regard for country, water, climate, people and biosphere. Short term money appears to be all that politicians care about. Here are  links to two upcoming legal court campaigns that need your funding help, that the EDO thinks are worth fighting, because our environments are worth defending.

A little bit of climate honesty could go a long way.

Can Juice media give a gut blow to our fossil fuels bound Australian Government? Our "climate leader" politicians are an unbelievable easy target.

"Have we finally broken our favorite planet?" 

Global environment appearances can be deceptive, and Australian politicians appear to have collectively sworn not to be deceived by them. Judging by results, COP for climate action are nothing more than yearly fossil fuel corporate trade shows, designed to produce agreements to burn more of their products every year.

Michael Dowd presents a very coherent view of our civilization predicaments. Four awkward truths determine our overall fates. This links to a 55 minute presentation to the Canadian Club of Rome, drawn from years of educational effort in ecological theology.

Yet another federal government budget floods media attention in Australia.  Discussions in the media tend to be about small matters of Surplus or Deficit, Taxes and Welfare. Meanwhile our petty domestic politics are overshadowed by a global polycrisis of risks, which keep looming ever larger and nearer, as listed in this World Economic Forum report.

A standard political response to preparing any of these, is the equivalent of filling a bucket with sand, and sticking one's head it. Or to start talking about incremental policy changes, or smearing the opposition party.  All elements of this polycrisis are made worse by pushing for continued growth, in population, wealth and consumption.  In facing these risks, Australia plans to give up nothing.  This is loss aversion and fear of economic collapse. We cannot keep it all.

Notice how "Geoeconomic confrontation" risk drops from near the top, to near the bottom, over the ten years. Keep this in mind when considering that Australia's most expensive future spending plans over the next decades, are for investments in high tech weapons in support of the military industrial complex of the USA, which is rapid social and economic decline.

Notice that "rapid collapse of the USA global military empire" is not included in the risks list. This is because western media deny its existence while at the same time drumming hysterical support for its latest war and weapons business venture.

Alan Urban's "collapsesurvivalsite.com" is made of reinforced conviction. You should best believe its real.

This linked article by Alan Urban provides a comprehensive summary of reasons why our global food systems are rapidly failing, due to climate vulnerability, and harmful unsustainable agriculture technology.

All of which is the end-stage result of our overshoot of our biospheres systems capacity for regeneration. Insect species are rapidly declining in numbers, and so are all their species dependents, such birds and small mammals. The insect pests that feed on our crops are exceptions.

Why are the big nations now arming for war in haste? Why can't they wait for civilization to collapse? Why is Australian government now wanting to buy expensive, complex USA made, deadly weapons? The "Collapse of Everything" must be accelerating, and political denial has now built up into total panic, hidden by a wall of silence.

A play list of well conceived presentations by Sid Smith, which places our present predicaments in the context of the many cycles of life.

It has been reported that our planet's average energy imbalance - EEI - has increased over the last two decades. Climate models suggest that we are likely to experience this in coming years as a faster rise in average surface temperature anomaly, and increased rate of accumulation of heat in our oceans.

In late 2022, an Office of National Intelligence (ONI) initial climate risk assessment — an election promise of the Albanese government — was distributed to members of the federal cabinet. It addressed external but not domestic climate threats. Since then there has been no government response to, or public communication of, the assessment’s findings. - Renew Economy article by Ian Dunlop and Chris Barrie

There are plenty of commonly available publications about likely future climate impacts, and consequences to Australia. Just because our government refuses to acknowledge them with report releases and appropriate changes of policy, doesn't mean they do not already exist. Also non-release does allow a full and free speculation as to the reports real contents. Future generations are already over-shadowed by the presence of the hyperobject of our global climate bomb.

Infographics about our systems Hyperthreat of climate as a HyperObject. Something beyond our mental, social and political comprehension. Something implied by the term #ClimateBomb

... the hyperthreat of climate change has warlike destructive capabilities that are so diffuse that it is hard to comprehend the enormity of the destruction, nor those responsible for these hostile actions.   - Climate Change as a Hyperthreat - Elizabeth G. Boulton

Some have calculated that the global carbon budget for 2 °C is already blown. Future emissions, cannot be reduced fast enough by any mechanism known to human civilization. Not even the decline rate of production of major global about  6% a year, meets the sort of global greenhouse gas reduction rates, that is required to avoid looming  tipping points that accelerate and worsen the blowbacks of global heating. Let us be absolutely honest and clear. There is no real "Safety Mechanism", just like there is no real Santa Claus, except for the delusions fostered on us by global capitalism, in particular the "dirty dozen" that profit from Australian Credulity.

All the Scope 1 emissions in Australia will be just the same no matter what carbon credit discounting scheme.  The order of magnitude times more emissions exported will be the same, uncounted in Australia, known as "Scope 3" emissions, without dubious "offsets". Atmosphere CO2 will continue to grow, and biosphere will continue to die.

Nevertheless, the Climate Council of Australia is gamely trying to intervene in the current political game of lets pretend it isn't happening, and ask that the Australian government do something to exert real responsible control, and not just be remote controlled by the global mining, finance and economic growth lobby. So you can sign the petition on their dirty dozen web page, like I did, so that it can probably die unheeded later on just like all the other climate petitions already dead and buried at the hands of this "Australian" parliament.

Alan Urban's article linked here, contributes a clear summary of the dire overshoot predicament we are in. Global carrying capacity for our impacts of population multiplied by our consumption wants has been degrading our biosphere for a century, given an approximate upper limits of 0.25 to 2.5 billion people. The lower value of 250 million,  is for everyone living closer to the extremes of consumption that developed nations enjoy today.  The very important point is that even apparent sustainable population size, can continue to use up its reserves of stocks and sinks of biosphere systems resources that take very long time scales to renew or reach equilibrium. Important examples are soils, forests, aquifers, and chemical buffer capacity of oceans and atmosphere. 

Biological carrying capacity starts to degrade long before total reserves are used up and population starvation happens only when resource flows have dropped. Sinks capacity usage is even more insidious, in cases of slow buildup of  globalized long-lived pollution. Human civilization has used up the total reserves and is currently experiencing decline in resource flows, and many locally toxic back-flows of the concentrated wastes sunk into our biosphere. We may give it terms like "economic depression" , "inflation", "illegal war" , "inequality", or "pollution spill",  but these are political and corporation cover-up terms, to water down our general systems understanding and guilt of our causation and factual agency. Nationalist and corporate propaganda works extremely hard to ignore the true ecological costs of overshoot prior to population collapse and crash. Rulers and rich alike can ignore it all as a reward for getting more than a fair share, as our egoistic brains are designed to optimize our relative personal survival. Only the growing numbers of poor, starving, desperate and ignored human beings can say what is really happening.

This article references an estimate of earths carry-capacity, for humans, considering the welfare of all beings. This ranges from 0.25 to 2.5 billion people. This figure moves to the small end as we increase the level of equitable consumption per capita. This assumes no dependence on our finite supply of non-renewable resources, which cannot be used sustainably.

Want a better future for coming generations? Still believe the MSM promises of growth fixes?  Then read this article by Carter Dillard for the "Fair Start Movement", which describes how our growth policies are taking us to our ruin. All competition between nations, to "grow"  national and global economic systems, while the shrinking fossil fuel energy pie lasts,  has produced the fastest acceleration ever of destruction of  life systems on this planet, degrading biosphere health shares for every living thing, and stolen political power from all citizens of all nations. If we want human beings to behave responsibly, and be empowered, we should better raise them up to be that way.

The latest climate news is really "Big Heat hits Antartica", with some of 26 positive feedback tipping points getting so close now, but that sort of news has never had any effect on systemic political and corporate denial, to produce net-zero zilch in effective mitigation policies for global heating, in order that the global filthy rich can stay fossil fuel powered, and keep their control till the very end. Global emissions continue to rise. Humanity seems entirely doomed to suffocate itself.