Crikey's Bernard Keane gets stuck into the Nationals, led by Barnaby Joyce, who are holding Australia's future Climate Policy up for ransom, to be paid up to Barnaby's backing fossil fuel interests. He says at least Pauline Hanson is a politician, while Barnaby Joyce is something else.
. . . Part of that normalisation reflects the persistent failure to understand what the National Party really is: it is, and always has been, a vehicle to exploit Australia’s parliamentary system to rort taxpayer funding in its own interests and those of the people who fund it — these days, fossil-fuel interests. It is not, by any conventional measure, a political party.
Climate For Change - networked presentation online on October 24th 2021. Sunday at 3 - 6pm.
This "Climate for change" , using the latest Online "Climate for Change" movement, as facillitated by ParraCAN. It is to present our climate predicaments as a global problem. Sorry to say, but that makes all of us in Australia a global problem.
We need to subvert the conventional and social media tropes, that remove responsibility for carbon emissions from our government and society, and protect ourselves from climate denial propaganda. Global heating already changes how we live. It should be changing how we lobby and vote for our politicians.
We should not ever complaining about the use of models in predicting the future, especially by the sciences. Models are all really we have got. Models are us, models are consciousness. We have models in our heads and we use them all the time, especially when they are weighted by our feelings. Governments and politicians usually have their implicit simple models in mind as they make their legislation, even if it isn't made explicit. Governments and corporations keep secret models which they attempt never to reveal, hence not amenable to corrective feedback from other people. Secret models usually involves obscene projections of institutional growth and power or planned harm to others. Hence the extreme measures taken against whistle-blowers and unofficial leakers. Secrecy means bad intentions, and national insecurity.
Our bodies and brains contain computational models. Our brains have heuristics and symbolism. Our bodies are model-mapped in our brains, to make them useful. Models require information flows from reality, but can never be the external reality. The world does not exist inside our heads, only its representations of our senses in coded forms, including our language and visual processing. Our construction and updating of models from our birth is called "learning". Our internal models are always checked. Surprise is the shock we receive that leads us to update our internal models. The question is always which models are appropriate and useful, and which can be harmful. For models to be useful, a lot of external information has to be sifted and selected, chosen without bias to be coded into data. Data needs to processed in valid statistical ways to derive knowledge conclusions, and knowledge has to be integrated with other relevant experiential knowledge in order to choose actions wisely. We cannot safely regulate any part of reality for which we do not possess an accurate working model.
Science recommends half a dozen most important global strategies we need to follow in order to thrive in our complex adaptive systems in which we are now creating our future. Ignore them at our peril. Especially if we realise that in reality, in our complex adaptive systems, having many different goals can be incompatible, as they can work against each other, at cross purposes, and lead to failure. Choosing systems compatible actions is very important, especially regarding human bulk social behaviour.
#ThisCantWait NSW Environment minister, Matt Kean and the NSW government have committed to half emissions by 2030. -- Crikey -- SEP 29, 2021 So far so good, for real climate targets, 2 australian state/territories out of 8, only 6 more to go. Just forget about the current federal government, which is going to hell on climate policy.
This is a major political embarrassment for the the fossil fuel money-tied politics in Australia. Foreign coal and gas mining companies control key members of the australian federal government and national media.
When will the Murdoch mining-run media empire adopt and promote the ambitious climate targets that are necessary? When will the Daily Telegraph change its vitriolic spots and sack its climate-derisory columnist Andrew Bolt? The NSW ALP federal member for more coal in NSW, Joel Fitzgibbon, although now retiring, was megaphoned by the Murdoch media, to say that NSW should "stick to knitting". Who are these "under-whelming minority" of Australians that stop real climate policy in Australia?
Crikey blames Barnaby Joyce and his Nationals supporters for the federal government not supporting a 2050 net-zero position. Because this will require that emission reduction work starts right now. A focused corrupting power of mining money and media support backs the politics of climate inaction in both the Federal and Queensland governments. A decade of wasted time leaves us with poisoned and weakened public institutions. Australia is unprepared for rapidly worsening global heating, as can be seen by woeful responses to extreme bushfire and weather conditions.
"The Morrison government is being held back by a handful of Nationals MPs and senators, a sub-faction within a sub-faction of government voted for by an overwhelming minority of Australians." "In Queensland, which has about two-thirds of Australia’s coal, the Liberal National Party is far more aggressively pro-mining and anti-climate science, and has historically been a big beneficiary of mining sector donations."
Why are all these people in boats? Robert Hunziker writes about this scary summary of climate science predictions, found in this picture book of near-future climate collapse, a picture book report specially prepared for the "political leaders" going to COP26. Really coming true climate monster stories to scare your children politicians with.
Even with a humanistic accounting regime and the needed changes to make the necessary reductions in greenhouse gas emissions, the cost of achieving the goals of averting catastrophic climate change will be high. - Systemic Disorder
The price of not seriously addressing global warming will be vastly greater than any economic costs we can impose on each other. How can systems blinkered by narrow self-interest save themselves?
The global warming club of the G20 - China, Russia, Brazil and Australia, all have energy policies associated with future atmosphere over heating of 5° C. G20 nations as a whole are responsible for 85% of current rates of global carbon emissions. Negotiations are going badly, while global climate extremes are on a roll, striking somewhere new every week. Severe floods have struck Germany, China and England. Before was the heat waves and fires. The climate apocalypse isn't waiting for warming to reach 1.5°. And earth's energy imbalance which sets the rate of warming, has doubled in the last 15 years.
Over a decade of paying for oil and gas fracking industry in the USA, investors are waking up to their big losses. It was never going to pay. Not now, not ever. Australian investors in its foreign firms "gas-led" recovery should start paying attention. Who are these duped investors? Pension funds? It must be so easy to be careless in the use of other peoples money. The damages to life, local environment and future climate costs are cumulatively enormous, and will never be rectified by any amount of money. A decade of billions of investor money down the drain for fracking in the USA proves that the oil and gas frackers are the sweetest of talkers. At last, investors there are deciding not to lose any more money for drilling. A pity about our planet. We are not called "fossil fools" for nothing. When do Australian investors and government wake up?
Somebody ought to tell the farmers, and the Nationals party, that having more forested landscape increases the amounts of local rain. On a dry, drought afflicted continent, you might think these facts would mean something. Past civilisations generally collapsed after their forests were cut down as once fertile lands turn into desert. Politicians are handed good plans of how to fix our deforestation habits, but politics thinks it knows better. Global warming requires forest growth and increase, not land clearing.
Robert Hunziker says of the publication that shows global heating rate doubling over the last fourteen years - "If this one report does not turn heads and create a sense of panic to get off fossil fuels, as soon as yesterday, then nothing will ever move the needle to fix the planet’s broken climate system."
"Frankly, the world is getting what it deserves and what it has failed to recognize in spite of the world’s top scientists’ warnings, a lot of heat!"
The Liberal National Parties and Australian Labor Party take millions of dollars in donations from public subsidized corporations that don't even get taxed. How is that for self interest? Are the political parties just extensions of the foreign corporations, or are these corporations vehicles for private interests of the politicians. I cannot say, it can be both at the same time.
Adam Bandt speech youtube excepts - "We don't have time left. ...This is not just a climate crime, this is state sanctioned corruption". Probably our political corruption has to be typical of all nations in late industrial civilisation.
Gas Emissions Craters (GEC) are exploding in Siberia as the permafrost melts - like a teenager coming down with Acne. Major carbon sinks move towards failure around our planet. The Amazon Rainforests is now considered a carbon source. Our overheated oceans may become so choked with heat and carbon dioxide they stop obliging to absorb more of our insults. Such are dangers being faced by all life on this planet, as human industrial civilisation has refused to stop growing. It is all becoming the stuff of biblical "Revelations". One would think our pentacostal prime minister should to Glasgow to lap it up, but no, Australia and the fossil fuel world isn't ready for this.
. . . unless there are immediate rapid and large-scale reductions in greenhouse gas emissions that limit warming to close to 1.5° C or even 2° C, the problem will extend “beyond reach” and beyond any chance for some level of control.
NSW native forest still being logged
NSW nature conservation council needs your support to continue to pressure the NSW government to finally stop the logging destruction of our remaining native forest areas. It can be done. The industry is uneconomic. 91% of timber is from plantations, and it needs to be 100%. We need native forest ecosystems to stop declining and grow in size and health, to enable the survival of the creatures that live in them, including koalas.
Notes on Carbon Dioxide in Global Warming, Acidified Oceans, and Weathered Rocks
I know it is a bitter pill to swallow, but the only real way to slow global warming in any noticeable way is to stop anthropogenic CO2 emissions FOREVER. There are no post-facto technological ‘capture’ or ‘remediation’ techniques that exist now or “could be developed” that would actually work as “silver bullets” of salvation; they would only ‘work’ as money making scams with which to gull those despairing of the ‘loss of easy living.’
Climate Council Public Petition to sign: To play its fair part in the rapid, sustained reductions required globally, Australia should aim to reduce its emissions by 75% below 2005 levels by 2030, and to net zero by 2035.
Tipping points of our biophysical systems
Nafeez Ahmed publishes "How to Save the World in 15 Years. PART TWO." The IPCC is politically climate conservative. Climate tipping points are irreversible and evidencing now. Not just the climate. The latest data also suggests that more than half – six out of nine – planetary boundaries appear to have now been crossed by human civilisation.
Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis
New is latest IPCC report "Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis" The hard work of many, it has fully documented and projected climate past and potential futures, with lots of corroborating detail, numbers and graphs, and improved datasets. Climate science is more certain, errorbars a little smaller. The website "Real Climate" scored a flurry of new posts from notable climate scientists. Future scenario pathways, our warming future, will depend on choices of today's governments and their money and power brokers. Just how much denial will they be allowed to get away with? Chances of scraping under 1.5 C° of warming in the next thirty years depends on keeping with the best "low-emissions scenarios". Nations need to work more on their NDC's, the "Nationally Determined Contributions". Global cooperation needs to come from a willing positive force from home, not a negative arm-twisted condescension imposed externally.
Net zero 2050 A dangerous illusion
Analysis reveals that “Net Zero 2050” strategies will lock in many decades of unnecessary fossil fuels use well past 2050, with an unsustainable, business-as-usual economic pathway, dangerous “offset” trade-offs, and unacceptable risks of unstoppable climate warming. - Breakthrough - National Centre for Climate Restoration
Robert Hunziker declares we have started the rolling climate apocalypse. Cities, infrastructure and people of fossil fuel civilization are not designed to withstand extreme heat and rapid flooding events. Evolved ecosystems are dying from the advanced human onslaught.
Even aiming to stay within the global warming range of 1.5 to 2 degrees C, the earth systems are pushed on a path that takes us to the kind of climate of 3 million years ago, Pliocene or even 50 million years ago, the Miocene. The Holocene, which nutured our civilizations, is over forever.
Right now, to avoid the extreme, conditions of the Miocene, not compatible with human civilization at all, and insure that only Pliocene conditions are reached, a rapid, global exponential decarbonization is required
Climacide is the usual cause of termination of Apex Species
David Suzuki points out, that a recent climate science paper says there remains only a 5 percent chance of staying below 2 degrees this Century, and we have actually more chance of reaching 6 degrees of warming (10%), than staying below 2 C. So we'ed better get on with it, as a global apex species, because even 2 degrees is not favourable to the long term survival biosphere apex species such as ourselves. Australia is especially singled out for its rigged corporate games in government..
A Six Million Year Plan for Earth
Everything politicians think they know is most certainly wrong for the real world. Global governments fixation on mutual traded, competitive, exponential, fossil fueled growth. This is the worst possible, long term option ever. There is no wriggle out of contract consequences - Making a Hell of Earth. So what is the cause of this collective insanity? Rapid extinction is nature's unthinking plan for a species that collectively destroys its foundational environment.
Growth still the climate killer
The Global Carbon Project, which collects and analyses our global carbon behaviour, shows that nearly everybody is misbehaving.
Growth in global carbon emissions in 2018 looks to be around 2%, which is exactly tied to the rate of economic growth (by GDP) Growth in Gas was the worst at 3.0%, and almost certainly involves a growth in total methane leakage. It is not provable that the rise in global carbon emissions with GDP has produced a similar rise in global well-being.
Humanity are still trying to collectively have infinite growth on this finite planet. Here in Australia, our Prime Madman Scott Morrison, keeps defiantly shouting his "Strong Economy" slogan, in the tones of "Resistance is useless", while Australia burns hotter. After Albert Einstein, we could say that only one thing is infinite, and that is human collective stupidity.
Absent any serious form of global self-control, human global demolition will be future choked by several possible natural "Limits to Growth". Given our massed social and technical ingenuity, we might even manage to have several at once. We might escape the global decline in essential heavy fuel oil supply to power our global big machines, or spend all our energies against the inexorable rise in new climate disasters. This is probably already out of our control, as we struggle to keep creating new limits by growing our ongoing demolition of biodiversity and natural sustainability.
Climate Emergency Declaration
If enough people demand it, governments could declare a
climate emergency tomorrow, and we could all get on with the job of